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 • Modèle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnières du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Mai 2019

Mai 2019 - Juin 2019 - Juillet 2019 - Août 2019 - Septembre 2019 - Octobre 2019


Anomalie de la température à 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
18/04/2019 00Z-1.4 °C-1.2 °C-0.9 °C+0.5 °C-0.7 °C-3.3 °C-1.3 °C
17/04/2019 18Z-1.6 °C-1 °C-1.2 °C-0.2 °C-0.9 °C-2.9 °C-0.5 °C
17/04/2019 12Z+0.3 °C+0.2 °C+0.4 °C+1.2 °C+0.9 °C-0.9 °C+1.9 °C
17/04/2019 06Z+1.4 °C+0.2 °C+1.7 °C+1.8 °C+2.1 °C+0 °C+2.4 °C
17/04/2019 00Z+0.9 °C+0.5 °C+1.1 °C+1.4 °C+0.8 °C+-0 °C+2.1 °C
16/04/2019 18Z+1.1 °C+0.1 °C+0.2 °C+1.6 °C+1.9 °C-0.3 °C+2.7 °C
16/04/2019 12Z+4 °C+2 °C+4.4 °C+3.6 °C+4 °C+2.7 °C+4.2 °C
16/04/2019 06Z+1.7 °C+0.8 °C+1.2 °C+1.3 °C+2 °C+0.7 °C+3.1 °C
16/04/2019 00Z-0.1 °C-0.3 °C+0.5 °C+0.9 °C-0.3 °C-1 °C+0.3 °C
15/04/2019 18Z-1.4 °C+0 °C-0.3 °C+0.2 °C-1.2 °C-1.8 °C-0.3 °C
15/04/2019 12Z-1 °C-0.5 °C-1.1 °C+0.3 °C-0.4 °C-1.8 °C+1 °C
15/04/2019 06Z+0.9 °C+0.4 °C+0.8 °C+1.4 °C+1.7 °C-0.4 °C+1.8 °C
15/04/2019 00Z-0.9 °C-1.3 °C-1.7 °C+0.6 °C+0.1 °C-3.1 °C-0.2 °C
14/04/2019 18Z-0.2 °C-0.2 °C-0.8 °C+1.2 °C+0.5 °C-1.7 °C+1.6 °C
14/04/2019 12Z-0.7 °C-0.9 °C-1 °C+0.7 °C+0.1 °C-2.1 °C+0.4 °C
14/04/2019 06Z-0.8 °C-1.5 °C-0.9 °C+0.6 °C+0.2 °C-2.9 °C-0.3 °C
14/04/2019 00Z+3.8 °C+1.8 °C+3.8 °C+3.5 °C+4.5 °C+2.2 °C+4.6 °C
13/04/2019 18Z-2.7 °C-1.5 °C-1.5 °C-0.5 °C-2.2 °C-3.4 °C-2 °C
13/04/2019 12Z-1.2 °C+0.1 °C-0.6 °C-0.1 °C-0.6 °C-1.8 °C+-0 °C
13/04/2019 06Z+3.5 °C+2.7 °C+6.2 °C+3.8 °C+3.2 °C+3 °C+3.9 °C
13/04/2019 00Z-0.7 °C-1 °C-1 °C+0.1 °C-0.3 °C-2.1 °C+1.3 °C
12/04/2019 18Z-2.4 °C-1.5 °C-1.7 °C-0.4 °C-2.1 °C-3.4 °C-1.4 °C
12/04/2019 12Z-0.6 °C+0.6 °C+0 °C+0.6 °C-0.2 °C-1.6 °C+0.4 °C
12/04/2019 06Z-0.7 °C-0.7 °C-1.4 °C-0.2 °C+0.2 °C-1.8 °C+1.7 °C
12/04/2019 00Z-1.8 °C-0.9 °C-0.6 °C+0.1 °C-1.5 °C-2.7 °C-1.1 °C
11/04/2019 18Z-0.1 °C-0.3 °C+0.6 °C+1.6 °C+0.2 °C-1.5 °C+0.3 °C
11/04/2019 12Z-0.4 °C-0.6 °C-0.3 °C+1.1 °C+0.2 °C-1.9 °C+0 °C
11/04/2019 06Z+1.5 °C+0.2 °C+1.2 °C+2.4 °C+2.4 °C-1.1 °C+1.3 °C
11/04/2019 00Z-0.3 °C-0.5 °C+0 °C+1.2 °C+0.8 °C-1.7 °C+1.2 °C
10/04/2019 18Z+0.2 °C+0.1 °C+0.6 °C+1.4 °C+0.6 °C-1.1 °C+1.8 °C
Moyenne+0 °C-0.1 °C+0.3 °C+1.1 °C+0.5 °C-1.3 °C+1 °C

Anomalie de la température à 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
18/04/2019 00Z-1.8 °C-2.9 °C-2 °C-0.5 °C-1.2 °C-3 °C-2.7 °C
17/04/2019 18Z-1.2 °C-2.4 °C-2.5 °C-1.9 °C-0.7 °C-1.9 °C-1.3 °C
17/04/2019 12Z+0.7 °C-0.4 °C-0.3 °C+0.1 °C+1 °C+0.1 °C+1 °C
17/04/2019 06Z+1.9 °C+0.4 °C+1.4 °C+0.8 °C+2.2 °C+1.3 °C+1.7 °C
17/04/2019 00Z+1.1 °C-0.2 °C+0.6 °C+0.9 °C+1 °C+0.9 °C+1.2 °C
16/04/2019 18Z+1.8 °C-0.6 °C+0 °C+0.5 °C+2.4 °C+0.9 °C+2.3 °C
16/04/2019 12Z+4.8 °C+2.6 °C+5 °C+4.8 °C+4.5 °C+4.1 °C+3.6 °C
16/04/2019 06Z+2.3 °C+0.6 °C+1.1 °C+1 °C+2.6 °C+1.8 °C+2.7 °C
16/04/2019 00Z+1.1 °C-0.4 °C+0.7 °C+1.1 °C+0.7 °C+0.4 °C-0.4 °C
15/04/2019 18Z-1 °C-0.8 °C-0.8 °C-0.9 °C-1.3 °C-1.1 °C-1.7 °C
15/04/2019 12Z-0.2 °C-1.2 °C-1.6 °C-1 °C+0.2 °C-0.8 °C+0.2 °C
15/04/2019 06Z+1.4 °C+0.6 °C+0.5 °C+0.9 °C+1.7 °C+0.5 °C+1.2 °C
15/04/2019 00Z-0.7 °C-2.8 °C-2.4 °C-0.4 °C+0.1 °C-2.4 °C-1 °C
14/04/2019 18Z+0 °C-0.9 °C-1.6 °C-0.7 °C+0.6 °C-0.6 °C+0.8 °C
14/04/2019 12Z-0.2 °C-1.9 °C-1 °C-0.1 °C+0.5 °C-1.1 °C-0.3 °C
14/04/2019 06Z-0.4 °C-2.3 °C-1.1 °C-0.5 °C-0.1 °C-1.8 °C-1.3 °C
14/04/2019 00Z+4.5 °C+1.7 °C+3.8 °C+4.1 °C+4.9 °C+3.4 °C+3.9 °C
13/04/2019 18Z-2.9 °C-2.9 °C-2.4 °C-1.8 °C-3.1 °C-3 °C-3.5 °C
13/04/2019 12Z-1 °C-0.4 °C-1.2 °C-1 °C-0.8 °C-0.6 °C-1 °C
13/04/2019 06Z+4.8 °C+2.9 °C+6.2 °C+5.7 °C+4.1 °C+4.3 °C+3.2 °C
13/04/2019 00Z-0.7 °C-1.8 °C-1.9 °C-1.6 °C-0.2 °C-1.3 °C+0.4 °C
12/04/2019 18Z-2.6 °C-3.2 °C-2.8 °C-2.1 °C-2.6 °C-2.8 °C-2.7 °C
12/04/2019 12Z-0.9 °C-0.5 °C-1 °C-0.3 °C-0.8 °C-0.9 °C-0.9 °C
12/04/2019 06Z-0.2 °C-0.6 °C-1.8 °C-2.2 °C+0.3 °C-0.4 °C+1.3 °C
12/04/2019 00Z-2.2 °C-1.3 °C-0.6 °C-0.1 °C-2.4 °C-1.9 °C-2.7 °C
11/04/2019 18Z-0.3 °C-1 °C+0.2 °C+0.2 °C-0.3 °C-0.7 °C-0.9 °C
11/04/2019 12Z-0.4 °C-1.5 °C-0.9 °C-0.3 °C-0.3 °C-1.1 °C-0.9 °C
11/04/2019 06Z+1.4 °C-1 °C+0.4 °C+2 °C+2 °C-0.2 °C+0.4 °C
11/04/2019 00Z+0 °C-1.6 °C-0.8 °C-0.7 °C+0.7 °C-0.6 °C+0.4 °C
10/04/2019 18Z+0.4 °C-1.4 °C-0.1 °C+0.5 °C+0.7 °C-0.2 °C+0.6 °C
Moyenne+0.3 °C-0.8 °C-0.2 °C+0.2 °C+0.5 °C-0.3 °C+0.1 °C

Anomalie de quantité de précipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
18/04/2019 00Z-5.9 %+23.9 %-4.6 %-71.2 %-43.1 %-14.5 %-19.1 %
17/04/2019 18Z+106.3 %+36.6 %-3.3 %-41.4 %+30.8 %+10.8 %-6.7 %
17/04/2019 12Z+46 %+63.1 %+54 %-42.1 %+0 %+14.3 %-28.4 %
17/04/2019 06Z+36.8 %-45.4 %-23.5 %-63.4 %-15 %-42.7 %-69.9 %
17/04/2019 00Z+4.6 %-49.5 %+5.1 %-33.9 %-42.2 %+10.1 %-23.1 %
16/04/2019 18Z+91.8 %+33.9 %+97.4 %-17.3 %+11.2 %+30.7 %+61 %
16/04/2019 12Z+9.7 %-78.2 %+16.2 %-40.2 %+9.5 %-54.7 %-45.9 %
16/04/2019 06Z+94.4 %+24.8 %+171.5 %+5.1 %+29.2 %-2.1 %+51.4 %
16/04/2019 00Z+29.5 %-46.1 %+64.5 %-46.9 %-20.2 %-33.2 %-35 %
15/04/2019 18Z-5 %-49.5 %-28.2 %+2.9 %-23 %-39.8 %-46.7 %
15/04/2019 12Z+37.7 %+9.5 %+20.7 %-12.9 %+12.9 %+67.8 %+49.9 %
15/04/2019 06Z-6.5 %-50.9 %+6.4 %-29.4 %-28.8 %-6.7 %-16.2 %
15/04/2019 00Z+0.4 %+52.5 %+56.5 %+59.5 %-5.7 %+7.8 %+8.2 %
14/04/2019 18Z+62.2 %+67.3 %+93.8 %-13.3 %+30.7 %+34.7 %+50.3 %
14/04/2019 12Z+3.3 %+75.4 %+98.9 %+20.2 %-22 %+8.2 %-22.4 %
14/04/2019 06Z+75.5 %-28.3 %+207 %+65.1 %+0.3 %+11 %+6.1 %
14/04/2019 00Z-40.6 %-67.7 %+23.4 %-55.2 %-38.7 %-73.4 %-60.6 %
13/04/2019 18Z+14.2 %+11.3 %+27.4 %-36.5 %-17.5 %+1.8 %-9.3 %
13/04/2019 12Z-14.2 %+82.8 %+3.1 %-79.4 %-34.3 %+5.2 %-18.5 %
13/04/2019 06Z+1.1 %-87.5 %-40 %-71 %-32.8 %-63.2 %-46.5 %
13/04/2019 00Z+82.7 %+64.8 %+40.4 %+3.6 %+53.1 %+9.5 %-16.8 %
12/04/2019 18Z+48.2 %+2 %+44.8 %-26.5 %+11.6 %-10.2 %+1.9 %
12/04/2019 12Z-24.5 %-30.5 %-29.1 %-62.2 %-36.7 %-16 %-36.6 %
12/04/2019 06Z+71.6 %+3.8 %+44.3 %-24.6 %+22.3 %+19.9 %+16.2 %
12/04/2019 00Z-7.2 %-24.3 %-21 %-56.4 %-34.3 %-24.4 %-35.5 %
11/04/2019 18Z+30.9 %-36.7 %+66.5 %+6.2 %-9.8 %-32.1 %-18.2 %
11/04/2019 12Z+10.6 %+26.6 %+43.1 %-3 %-23.9 %+7.1 %-28.4 %
11/04/2019 06Z-16.3 %+73.9 %+30.8 %-64.3 %-59.9 %-35.5 %-28.9 %
11/04/2019 00Z+52.5 %+4 %+91.2 %-19.2 %+41.2 %-11.2 %+24.1 %
10/04/2019 18Z+41.2 %+30.2 %-21.3 %-60.7 %-9.7 %-1.8 %-9.7 %
Moyenne+27.7 %+3.1 %+37.9 %-26.9 %-8.2 %-7.4 %-11.8 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
18/04/2019 00Z+2.9 hPa-1.2 hPa+0.1 hPa+4.3 hPa+3.9 hPa+0.1 hPa+1.3 hPa
17/04/2019 18Z-3.1 hPa-3.8 hPa-2.4 hPa-0.8 hPa-3.2 hPa-3.5 hPa-3.8 hPa
17/04/2019 12Z-1.3 hPa-2.5 hPa-2 hPa-0.8 hPa-0.8 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.1 hPa
17/04/2019 06Z+1.3 hPa+1.4 hPa+0.1 hPa+1.6 hPa+1.3 hPa+1.3 hPa+1.4 hPa
17/04/2019 00Z-0.5 hPa-1.2 hPa-2 hPa-0.4 hPa+0.4 hPa-1.3 hPa-0.9 hPa
16/04/2019 18Z-5.4 hPa-4.3 hPa-5.9 hPa-4.9 hPa-4.6 hPa-5.2 hPa-5.6 hPa
16/04/2019 12Z+1.8 hPa+2.5 hPa-0.1 hPa+1 hPa+2.5 hPa+1.9 hPa+2.3 hPa
16/04/2019 06Z-3.7 hPa-2.7 hPa-4.3 hPa-3.1 hPa-3 hPa-3.4 hPa-3.7 hPa
16/04/2019 00Z+0.5 hPa-1.1 hPa-1.8 hPa+0.5 hPa+1.9 hPa-1.1 hPa+0.3 hPa
15/04/2019 18Z+1.1 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.3 hPa+1.5 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.1 hPa+1 hPa
15/04/2019 12Z-0.6 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.8 hPa-1 hPa-1.3 hPa
15/04/2019 06Z-0.5 hPa-0.9 hPa+-0 hPa-0.7 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.5 hPa
15/04/2019 00Z-2 hPa-2.2 hPa-0.1 hPa-1.9 hPa-2.7 hPa-1.8 hPa-2.5 hPa
14/04/2019 18Z-5.3 hPa-4.6 hPa-4.6 hPa-6.1 hPa-5.4 hPa-4.9 hPa-5.2 hPa
14/04/2019 12Z-3.6 hPa-3.1 hPa-3.3 hPa-3.7 hPa-3.5 hPa-3.5 hPa-3.4 hPa
14/04/2019 06Z-3 hPa-2.1 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.8 hPa-2.9 hPa-2.5 hPa-2.9 hPa
14/04/2019 00Z+1.7 hPa+2.4 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.4 hPa+1.9 hPa+2.3 hPa+2.5 hPa
13/04/2019 18Z+0.9 hPa-1.4 hPa-0.4 hPa+2 hPa+1.2 hPa-0.8 hPa-0.1 hPa
13/04/2019 12Z+0.1 hPa-3.3 hPa-1.9 hPa+1.5 hPa+0.9 hPa-2.5 hPa-1.1 hPa
13/04/2019 06Z+3.6 hPa+3.8 hPa+0 hPa+2.4 hPa+4.6 hPa+3.3 hPa+4.1 hPa
13/04/2019 00Z-2.4 hPa-2.8 hPa-2.6 hPa-1.9 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.6 hPa-3.1 hPa
12/04/2019 18Z+2.1 hPa+1.7 hPa+2.3 hPa+4 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.5 hPa
12/04/2019 12Z+2.4 hPa-0.9 hPa+0.7 hPa+2.2 hPa+2.9 hPa+0.4 hPa+1.7 hPa
12/04/2019 06Z-2.1 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.2 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.6 hPa-1.5 hPa-2.4 hPa
12/04/2019 00Z+4.6 hPa+2 hPa+2.9 hPa+5.2 hPa+4.4 hPa+3 hPa+3.3 hPa
11/04/2019 18Z+2.6 hPa+2.4 hPa+1.7 hPa+2.7 hPa+2.4 hPa+2.6 hPa+2.3 hPa
11/04/2019 12Z-0.9 hPa-2.1 hPa-2.4 hPa-1 hPa-0.4 hPa-1.7 hPa-0.9 hPa
11/04/2019 06Z+2.4 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.4 hPa+3.2 hPa+3 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.8 hPa
11/04/2019 00Z-2.7 hPa-1.2 hPa-2.8 hPa-1.9 hPa-2.6 hPa-2 hPa-2.4 hPa
10/04/2019 18Z+1.2 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.7 hPa+2.2 hPa+2 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.2 hPa
Moyenne-0.3 hPa-0.9 hPa-1.1 hPa+0.1 hPa+0 hPa-0.8 hPa-0.6 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Précisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont réalisés à partir des données de la période 1982-2010. Le modèle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modèle saisonnier qui est lancé une 4 tous les jours avec les données de réanalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 
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