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 • Modèle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnières du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Mars 2020

Mars 2020 - Avril 2020 - Mai 2020 - Juin 2020 - Juillet 2020 - Août 2020


Anomalie de la température à 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/02/2020 12Z-0.3 °C-0.5 °C+0.4 °C+0.3 °C+0.2 °C-1.7 °C-0.4 °C
27/02/2020 06Z+0.2 °C-0.3 °C+0.1 °C+0.8 °C+0.8 °C-1.6 °C+0.3 °C
27/02/2020 00Z+2.3 °C+1.1 °C+2.5 °C+1.3 °C+2.3 °C+1.1 °C+2.9 °C
26/02/2020 18Z-1.8 °C-1.9 °C-0.9 °C-0.3 °C-1.3 °C-3.4 °C-1.5 °C
26/02/2020 12Z+1.8 °C+0.5 °C+3 °C+2.1 °C+1.8 °C+1.4 °C+2.1 °C
26/02/2020 06Z+1.1 °C+1.5 °C+1.8 °C+1 °C+1.6 °C+1.1 °C+2.2 °C
26/02/2020 00Z-1.5 °C+0.1 °C+0.7 °C-0.8 °C-1.4 °C-1 °C+-0 °C
25/02/2020 18Z+2 °C+1.1 °C+2.8 °C+1.3 °C+2.2 °C+1.2 °C+2.8 °C
25/02/2020 12Z+0.7 °C+0.9 °C+1.4 °C+0.5 °C+0.8 °C+0.2 °C+1.5 °C
25/02/2020 06Z-0.1 °C-0.7 °C+0.6 °C+0.5 °C+0.1 °C-1.5 °C+0.2 °C
25/02/2020 00Z-0.8 °C-0.1 °C+0.7 °C-0.3 °C-0.3 °C-0.9 °C+0.4 °C
24/02/2020 18Z+-0 °C-0.2 °C-0.5 °C+0.1 °C+0.7 °C-1.3 °C+0.9 °C
24/02/2020 12Z+0.6 °C+0.1 °C+2 °C+0.6 °C+0.9 °C+0.1 °C+1.4 °C
24/02/2020 06Z-0.6 °C-0.2 °C-0.3 °C-0.5 °C-0.4 °C-0.9 °C+1.2 °C
24/02/2020 00Z-1.3 °C-1.1 °C-1.6 °C-0.5 °C-0.9 °C-3 °C-1.4 °C
23/02/2020 18Z-0.7 °C+0.3 °C+0.1 °C-0.4 °C-0.6 °C-0.5 °C+0.8 °C
23/02/2020 12Z+0.2 °C+0.1 °C+0.5 °C+0.8 °C+0.6 °C-0.9 °C+0.9 °C
23/02/2020 06Z-0.2 °C+0.7 °C+0.8 °C+0.1 °C+0.1 °C-0.4 °C+1.1 °C
23/02/2020 00Z-2.1 °C-1.5 °C-0.9 °C-0.7 °C-1.5 °C-3.5 °C-1.4 °C
22/02/2020 18Z-1.8 °C-1.1 °C-0.2 °C-0.5 °C-1.2 °C-2.4 °C-1.6 °C
22/02/2020 12Z+0.8 °C+1.2 °C+1.5 °C+0.2 °C+0.9 °C+0.9 °C+2.9 °C
22/02/2020 06Z+0.9 °C+0.9 °C+1.2 °C+1 °C+1.2 °C+0.1 °C+1.1 °C
22/02/2020 00Z-1.4 °C-0.9 °C-0.1 °C-0.4 °C-0.9 °C-2.4 °C-1 °C
21/02/2020 18Z+1.1 °C-0.1 °C+0.8 °C+1.1 °C+1.7 °C-0.9 °C+0.8 °C
21/02/2020 12Z-1.3 °C-0.2 °C-0.4 °C-0.2 °C-1 °C-2.1 °C-0.6 °C
21/02/2020 06Z+2 °C+0.9 °C+2.1 °C+1.5 °C+2.4 °C+0.9 °C+2.7 °C
21/02/2020 00Z-0.4 °C-0.7 °C-0.3 °C+0.1 °C+-0 °C-2.2 °C-0.7 °C
20/02/2020 18Z+0.2 °C+0.2 °C+1 °C+0.6 °C+0.5 °C-0.8 °C+0.2 °C
20/02/2020 12Z-1 °C-1.1 °C-0.2 °C+-0 °C-0.4 °C-3.2 °C-1.4 °C
20/02/2020 06Z-2.3 °C-2.4 °C-2.5 °C-1.2 °C-1.5 °C-4.6 °C-2.5 °C
Moyenne-0.1 °C-0.1 °C+0.5 °C+0.3 °C+0.2 °C-1.1 °C+0.5 °C

Anomalie de la température à 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/02/2020 12Z-0.6 °C-2.4 °C-0.1 °C+0.1 °C-0.2 °C-1.7 °C-1.8 °C
27/02/2020 06Z+0.2 °C-1.8 °C-1 °C+0.2 °C+0.4 °C-0.9 °C-0.5 °C
27/02/2020 00Z+2.3 °C+0.7 °C+1.5 °C+0.9 °C+2.4 °C+1.9 °C+2.5 °C
26/02/2020 18Z-2.4 °C-4.3 °C-3.2 °C-2.2 °C-1.9 °C-3.2 °C-2.5 °C
26/02/2020 12Z+3.6 °C-0.6 °C+3.1 °C+2.7 °C+3.8 °C+2.3 °C+3 °C
26/02/2020 06Z+1 °C+1.3 °C+1.2 °C-0.1 °C+0.6 °C+1.4 °C+1.1 °C
26/02/2020 00Z-2.3 °C-0.2 °C+0 °C-2.1 °C-2.9 °C-0.2 °C-1.6 °C
25/02/2020 18Z+2.3 °C+1.4 °C+2.9 °C+1.5 °C+2 °C+2.1 °C+1.9 °C
25/02/2020 12Z+0.5 °C+0.6 °C+0.4 °C-0.2 °C+0.1 °C+0.9 °C+0.7 °C
25/02/2020 06Z-1 °C-2.9 °C-0.9 °C-0.8 °C-0.6 °C-1.4 °C-0.9 °C
25/02/2020 00Z-1.1 °C-1 °C+-0 °C-1.6 °C-1.1 °C-0.4 °C-0.4 °C
24/02/2020 18Z-0.6 °C-1.6 °C-1.7 °C-1.1 °C-0.1 °C-0.8 °C+0.2 °C
24/02/2020 12Z+0.5 °C-0.2 °C+1.2 °C+0.6 °C+0.1 °C+0.8 °C+0.5 °C
24/02/2020 06Z-1.6 °C-1.3 °C-2 °C-3.3 °C-1.7 °C-0.7 °C-0.1 °C
24/02/2020 00Z-2.9 °C-3.1 °C-2.9 °C-2.3 °C-2.7 °C-3.4 °C-3.1 °C
23/02/2020 18Z-1.1 °C-0.7 °C-1 °C-1.4 °C-1.4 °C-0.1 °C+-0 °C
23/02/2020 12Z+0.5 °C-0.7 °C-0.1 °C+0.1 °C+0.7 °C-0.1 °C+0.3 °C
23/02/2020 06Z-0.7 °C+0.2 °C+0.1 °C-1.5 °C-1 °C+0.3 °C-0.2 °C
23/02/2020 00Z-3.7 °C-3.2 °C-2.4 °C-2.9 °C-3.7 °C-3.2 °C-3.4 °C
22/02/2020 18Z-2.7 °C-3.5 °C-1.3 °C-1.5 °C-2.9 °C-2.4 °C-3.2 °C
22/02/2020 12Z+0.4 °C+1.2 °C+0.5 °C-1.2 °C-0.1 °C+1.7 °C+1.9 °C
22/02/2020 06Z+1.3 °C+-0 °C+0.7 °C+0.8 °C+1 °C+0.8 °C+0.5 °C
22/02/2020 00Z-2 °C-2.4 °C-0.7 °C-1.7 °C-2.3 °C-1.8 °C-2.5 °C
21/02/2020 18Z+1 °C-1.2 °C+0.3 °C+1.3 °C+1.5 °C+-0 °C+0.6 °C
21/02/2020 12Z-2.5 °C-1.7 °C-2.3 °C-2.7 °C-2.6 °C-2.2 °C-2.3 °C
21/02/2020 06Z+1.8 °C+0.8 °C+1.4 °C+1 °C+1.7 °C+1.9 °C+2.1 °C
21/02/2020 00Z-1.3 °C-2.7 °C-1 °C+0.1 °C-1 °C-2.7 °C-2.5 °C
20/02/2020 18Z-0.3 °C-1 °C+0.3 °C-0.1 °C-0.7 °C-0.1 °C-0.9 °C
20/02/2020 12Z-2 °C-3.2 °C-1.7 °C-1.4 °C-1.8 °C-3.1 °C-2.6 °C
20/02/2020 06Z-5 °C-5.3 °C-5.6 °C-4 °C-4.6 °C-5.4 °C-4.5 °C
Moyenne-0.6 °C-1.3 °C-0.5 °C-0.8 °C-0.6 °C-0.7 °C-0.6 °C

Anomalie de quantité de précipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/02/2020 12Z-12.3 %-47.6 %+42.5 %-29.8 %-12.6 %+12.7 %-2.4 %
27/02/2020 06Z+49 %+24.1 %+92.8 %-18 %+11.7 %+68.8 %+2.6 %
27/02/2020 00Z-0.3 %-50.1 %-8.1 %+19.8 %+3 %-7.6 %-23.9 %
26/02/2020 18Z+12.4 %+72.1 %+29 %-8.4 %-28.9 %+37.7 %-24.9 %
26/02/2020 12Z-11.4 %-26.5 %+22.8 %-39.2 %-53.3 %-1.9 %-35.7 %
26/02/2020 06Z+20.4 %-67.4 %+20.4 %-10.8 %-2.6 %+4.7 %-20.5 %
26/02/2020 00Z-2.5 %+101.5 %-28.7 %-18 %-18.4 %-10.8 %-15.7 %
25/02/2020 18Z+12.2 %-34.8 %+41.5 %-12.3 %-5.9 %+33.6 %+12.1 %
25/02/2020 12Z-23.5 %+61.2 %+76 %-38.6 %-19.2 %+24.8 %-29.2 %
25/02/2020 06Z-19.9 %+50.2 %+43.8 %+6.3 %-52.9 %+31.1 %-24.4 %
25/02/2020 00Z+46.6 %+125.6 %+176.7 %+54.7 %-0.4 %+156.2 %+4.5 %
24/02/2020 18Z+30.7 %+45.7 %+112.1 %+28.5 %+5.5 %+94.7 %-9.2 %
24/02/2020 12Z-20.2 %+99.1 %-15.3 %-46.6 %-33.8 %-1.9 %-47.4 %
24/02/2020 06Z+56.2 %+33.2 %+18.6 %-15.8 %-7 %+33.1 %-3.9 %
24/02/2020 00Z+69.9 %+31.8 %+107.5 %+31.6 %+67.1 %+87.7 %+11.8 %
23/02/2020 18Z-14.5 %+224.2 %+7.5 %-34.1 %-34.3 %+34.2 %-35.3 %
23/02/2020 12Z+52.8 %-62.7 %+131.1 %+18 %+31.9 %+73.8 %-10.8 %
23/02/2020 06Z+31 %-0.5 %+72.9 %+29.4 %+33.8 %+21.7 %-16.2 %
23/02/2020 00Z+42.5 %+72.3 %+192.7 %+41.1 %+12.6 %+130.8 %+12 %
22/02/2020 18Z-21.8 %+97.7 %+80.7 %+26.5 %-57.4 %+5.9 %-50.5 %
22/02/2020 12Z+51.1 %+76.9 %+95.2 %+67.7 %+29.5 %+89.6 %+7 %
22/02/2020 06Z-14.9 %-21 %+85.1 %-15.1 %-20.2 %-20.2 %-22.9 %
22/02/2020 00Z+51.1 %+1.4 %+137.9 %+55.7 %+37.8 %+115 %+5.2 %
21/02/2020 18Z+31.3 %-65.1 %+6.4 %-7.3 %+18.4 %-6.9 %-19 %
21/02/2020 12Z+100 %+46 %+101.2 %+61.3 %+107.2 %+109.6 %+63.5 %
21/02/2020 06Z+6.4 %-76.5 %-24.6 %-28.8 %+10.4 %-10 %-15 %
21/02/2020 00Z+31.4 %-42.3 %+53.8 %-13 %-6.9 %+2.5 %-35.6 %
20/02/2020 18Z+10.5 %-67 %+25.4 %-40.6 %-17.6 %+21.2 %-13.1 %
20/02/2020 12Z+53.1 %-80.4 %-14.1 %-27.2 %+43.5 %+61.1 %+47.7 %
20/02/2020 06Z+34.8 %-38.8 %-5.6 %-34 %+28.4 %+67.8 %+28.9 %
Moyenne+21.7 %+16.1 %+55.9 %+0.1 %+2.3 %+42 %-8.7 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/02/2020 12Z+3.2 hPa+2.9 hPa+1.8 hPa+3 hPa+4 hPa+2.6 hPa+3.6 hPa
27/02/2020 06Z-0.2 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.4 hPa-0.6 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.3 hPa
27/02/2020 00Z+1.6 hPa+1.7 hPa-0.4 hPa+0.8 hPa+2.4 hPa+1.1 hPa+2.2 hPa
26/02/2020 18Z-0.8 hPa-1.8 hPa-2.6 hPa-0.8 hPa+0.4 hPa-1.9 hPa-1 hPa
26/02/2020 12Z+2.8 hPa+5.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.1 hPa+4.4 hPa+2.9 hPa+4.3 hPa
26/02/2020 06Z+5.1 hPa+5.3 hPa+5.8 hPa+4.7 hPa+4.2 hPa+5.6 hPa+5.6 hPa
26/02/2020 00Z+0.5 hPa-1.6 hPa-3 hPa-0.3 hPa+1.9 hPa-1.7 hPa+0.1 hPa
25/02/2020 18Z+0.8 hPa+2.6 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.4 hPa+0 hPa+1.7 hPa+0.8 hPa
25/02/2020 12Z+2.7 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.4 hPa+3.6 hPa+2.8 hPa+1.9 hPa+2.3 hPa
25/02/2020 06Z+1.6 hPa+1.5 hPa-1 hPa+0.5 hPa+3.4 hPa+0.7 hPa+1.9 hPa
25/02/2020 00Z-6 hPa-4 hPa-7.2 hPa-8 hPa-5.2 hPa-5.4 hPa-5 hPa
24/02/2020 18Z-4.5 hPa-3.8 hPa-5.1 hPa-4.6 hPa-3.4 hPa-4.4 hPa-3.8 hPa
24/02/2020 12Z+1.7 hPa+0.7 hPa-1.6 hPa+1 hPa+3.3 hPa+0.2 hPa+1.9 hPa
24/02/2020 06Z+0.7 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa+1.5 hPa+1 hPa-0.2 hPa+0.2 hPa
24/02/2020 00Z-0.3 hPa+-0 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.7 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.2 hPa
23/02/2020 18Z+1.1 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.6 hPa+1 hPa+3 hPa-1.5 hPa+0.6 hPa
23/02/2020 12Z+0.3 hPa+2.6 hPa+1.8 hPa+0.4 hPa-0.1 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.4 hPa
23/02/2020 06Z+0.2 hPa+1.9 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.6 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.9 hPa
23/02/2020 00Z-4.3 hPa-3.4 hPa-3.5 hPa-4.2 hPa-4.4 hPa-3.5 hPa-4 hPa
22/02/2020 18Z-1.5 hPa-3 hPa-5.6 hPa-4 hPa+0.9 hPa-3.4 hPa-0.8 hPa
22/02/2020 12Z-3.7 hPa-1.7 hPa-2.9 hPa-4.3 hPa-4.1 hPa-2.6 hPa-3 hPa
22/02/2020 06Z+2.9 hPa+2.1 hPa+2.2 hPa+3 hPa+3.2 hPa+2.1 hPa+2.6 hPa
22/02/2020 00Z-0.3 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.5 hPa-1 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.1 hPa
21/02/2020 18Z+1.9 hPa+2.9 hPa+2.4 hPa+2.4 hPa+1.4 hPa+2.7 hPa+2 hPa
21/02/2020 12Z-4.9 hPa-2.5 hPa-1.6 hPa-3.4 hPa-5.8 hPa-3.1 hPa-4.8 hPa
21/02/2020 06Z+4.2 hPa+6.1 hPa+4.7 hPa+3.6 hPa+3.4 hPa+5.4 hPa+4.9 hPa
21/02/2020 00Z+4.1 hPa+3 hPa+2.8 hPa+4.6 hPa+4.6 hPa+3.3 hPa+3.8 hPa
20/02/2020 18Z+0.9 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.4 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.8 hPa-0.4 hPa+0.5 hPa
20/02/2020 12Z+2.7 hPa+2.5 hPa+4.2 hPa+4.4 hPa+1.8 hPa+3.3 hPa+2.1 hPa
20/02/2020 06Z+3.1 hPa-0.5 hPa+4.4 hPa+6.1 hPa+2.9 hPa+1.5 hPa+0.9 hPa
Moyenne+0.5 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.7 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Précisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont réalisés à partir des données de la période 1982-2010. Le modèle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modèle saisonnier qui est lancé une 4 tous les jours avec les données de réanalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 
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