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 • Modèle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnières du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Juillet 2019

Juillet 2019 - Août 2019 - Septembre 2019 - Octobre 2019 - Novembre 2019 - Décembre 2019


Anomalie de la température à 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
26/06/2019 06Z-1.5 °C-0.8 °C-1.1 °C+0.9 °C-0.2 °C-3.3 °C+0.1 °C
26/06/2019 00Z-1 °C+0 °C+0.2 °C+1.2 °C-0.3 °C-2.4 °C+0.2 °C
25/06/2019 18Z-0.9 °C+0.6 °C+1 °C+1.3 °C+-0 °C-1.9 °C+0 °C
25/06/2019 12Z-0.9 °C+0.4 °C+1.4 °C+1.2 °C-0.2 °C-1.5 °C+0.2 °C
25/06/2019 06Z-0.2 °C+0.6 °C+0.6 °C+1.3 °C+0.5 °C-1.2 °C+1.2 °C
25/06/2019 00Z-1.9 °C-0.6 °C-0.5 °C+0.7 °C-0.7 °C-3.4 °C-0.5 °C
24/06/2019 18Z-3.4 °C-1.3 °C-1.8 °C-0.2 °C-2.8 °C-4 °C-1.6 °C
24/06/2019 12Z-0.6 °C+0.3 °C+0.5 °C+1 °C+0 °C-1.8 °C+1 °C
24/06/2019 06Z-2.4 °C+0.1 °C-0.8 °C+0.5 °C-1.7 °C-2.4 °C-0.8 °C
24/06/2019 00Z-0.1 °C+0.7 °C+0.4 °C+1.6 °C+0.8 °C-0.8 °C+1.7 °C
23/06/2019 18Z-2.1 °C-1 °C-0.9 °C+0.5 °C-1.3 °C-3.6 °C-1.2 °C
23/06/2019 12Z-1.8 °C-0.3 °C+0.5 °C+1.2 °C-1.1 °C-3 °C-0.8 °C
23/06/2019 06Z-1.8 °C-2 °C-1.1 °C+1 °C-0.6 °C-4.2 °C-0.8 °C
23/06/2019 00Z-3 °C-0.8 °C-1.9 °C+0 °C-2.2 °C-4.2 °C-1.6 °C
22/06/2019 18Z-1.5 °C-0.9 °C-0.6 °C+0.8 °C-0.6 °C-2.8 °C-0.3 °C
22/06/2019 12Z-2.7 °C-2.7 °C-3 °C+0.3 °C-1.5 °C-5.7 °C-2.4 °C
22/06/2019 06Z-0.9 °C-0.7 °C+0.2 °C+1.2 °C-0.2 °C-2.1 °C+0.7 °C
22/06/2019 00Z-1.4 °C-0.1 °C+-0 °C+0.7 °C-0.8 °C-2.4 °C+0.2 °C
21/06/2019 18Z-1.4 °C-0.3 °C-0.1 °C+1.3 °C-0.3 °C-2.7 °C-0.1 °C
21/06/2019 12Z-2.5 °C-1.7 °C-1.8 °C+0.9 °C-1.4 °C-4.5 °C-1.6 °C
21/06/2019 06Z-0.7 °C+0.1 °C+1.7 °C+1.9 °C+0.2 °C-1.9 °C+0.2 °C
21/06/2019 00Z-0.8 °C-0.7 °C-0.7 °C+1.3 °C+0.3 °C-2.9 °C+0 °C
20/06/2019 18Z-1.8 °C-1 °C+0.4 °C+1.4 °C-1.1 °C-2.9 °C-1.1 °C
20/06/2019 12Z-2.7 °C-1.6 °C-2 °C+0.5 °C-1.7 °C-4.5 °C-1.8 °C
20/06/2019 06Z-2.4 °C-1.5 °C-2 °C+0.7 °C-0.9 °C-4 °C-0.7 °C
20/06/2019 00Z-2.9 °C-2 °C-2.2 °C+0.5 °C-2 °C-4.8 °C-2 °C
19/06/2019 18Z-2.4 °C-1.8 °C-2.2 °C+0.9 °C-1.1 °C-4.6 °C-1.2 °C
19/06/2019 12Z-1.4 °C-1.2 °C-0.4 °C+1 °C-0.3 °C-3 °C-0.5 °C
19/06/2019 06Z-1.2 °C-1.1 °C-0.7 °C+1.1 °C-0.3 °C-3.3 °C-0.2 °C
19/06/2019 00Z-0.9 °C-0.8 °C+-0 °C+1.3 °C+0.1 °C-2.5 °C+0.5 °C
Moyenne-1.6 °C-0.7 °C-0.6 °C+0.9 °C-0.7 °C-3.1 °C-0.4 °C

Anomalie de la température à 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
26/06/2019 06Z-0.4 °C-2.2 °C-1.5 °C-0.5 °C+0.3 °C-1.6 °C-0.4 °C
26/06/2019 00Z-0.3 °C-1.4 °C-0.3 °C-0.4 °C-0.1 °C-1 °C-0.3 °C
25/06/2019 18Z+0.1 °C-0.3 °C+0.6 °C+0.3 °C+0.1 °C-0.1 °C-0.4 °C
25/06/2019 12Z+0.3 °C-0.2 °C+0.9 °C+0.6 °C+0.3 °C+0.2 °C-0.2 °C
25/06/2019 06Z+0.6 °C-0.2 °C+0.5 °C-0.3 °C+0.9 °C+0.5 °C+0.8 °C
25/06/2019 00Z-0.8 °C-1.6 °C-0.7 °C-1.4 °C-0.5 °C-1.3 °C-1 °C
24/06/2019 18Z-2.5 °C-1.9 °C-2.4 °C-2.4 °C-2.5 °C-2.3 °C-2.5 °C
24/06/2019 12Z+-0 °C-0.2 °C+0.3 °C-0.7 °C+0.2 °C+0.3 °C+0.3 °C
24/06/2019 06Z-1.5 °C-0.2 °C-0.7 °C-1.5 °C-1.9 °C-0.4 °C-1.5 °C
24/06/2019 00Z+0.5 °C+0.5 °C+1 °C-0.1 °C+0.7 °C+1.4 °C+1.2 °C
23/06/2019 18Z-1.6 °C-1.6 °C-0.9 °C-1.9 °C-1.4 °C-1.8 °C-1.7 °C
23/06/2019 12Z-1 °C-1.1 °C+0.3 °C-0.3 °C-1.2 °C-1.2 °C-1.3 °C
23/06/2019 06Z-0.8 °C-3.2 °C-1.9 °C-1.1 °C-0.4 °C-2.6 °C-1.2 °C
23/06/2019 00Z-2.3 °C-2.1 °C-2.4 °C-2.2 °C-1.8 °C-2.6 °C-2.6 °C
22/06/2019 18Z-0.3 °C-1 °C-0.2 °C-0.9 °C+-0 °C-0.8 °C-0.6 °C
22/06/2019 12Z-2 °C-4.3 °C-3.7 °C-1.6 °C-1.2 °C-4.2 °C-2.7 °C
22/06/2019 06Z+-0 °C-1.1 °C-0.2 °C-0.6 °C-0.1 °C-0.1 °C+0.6 °C
22/06/2019 00Z-0.7 °C-1 °C-0.5 °C-0.7 °C-0.5 °C-0.7 °C-0.6 °C
21/06/2019 18Z-0.3 °C-1.3 °C+0 °C+0.1 °C-0.1 °C-1.1 °C-0.8 °C
21/06/2019 12Z-1.7 °C-2.8 °C-2.3 °C-1.6 °C-1.3 °C-2.8 °C-2.1 °C
21/06/2019 06Z+0.6 °C-1.4 °C+1 °C+1.1 °C+0.6 °C-0.2 °C-0.2 °C
21/06/2019 00Z-0.1 °C-2 °C-0.8 °C-0.4 °C+0.4 °C-1.2 °C-0.4 °C
20/06/2019 18Z-0.5 °C-1.6 °C+0.6 °C+0.1 °C-0.6 °C-0.9 °C-1.5 °C
20/06/2019 12Z-2 °C-3.1 °C-2.9 °C-2 °C-1.3 °C-3.1 °C-2.4 °C
20/06/2019 06Z-1.4 °C-2.9 °C-2 °C-1.2 °C-0.8 °C-2.4 °C-1.3 °C
20/06/2019 00Z-2.1 °C-3.7 °C-3.1 °C-1.6 °C-1.8 °C-3.4 °C-2.6 °C
19/06/2019 18Z-1.4 °C-3.4 °C-3.1 °C-1 °C-0.6 °C-3.2 °C-1.5 °C
19/06/2019 12Z-0.5 °C-2 °C-0.7 °C-0.6 °C-0.1 °C-1.3 °C-1 °C
19/06/2019 06Z-0.2 °C-2.2 °C-1.1 °C-0.5 °C+0.3 °C-1.5 °C-0.6 °C
19/06/2019 00Z-0.1 °C-2.2 °C-0.7 °C+0.3 °C+0.4 °C-0.9 °C-0.2 °C
Moyenne-0.7 °C-1.7 °C-0.9 °C-0.8 °C-0.5 °C-1.3 °C-1 °C

Anomalie de quantité de précipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
26/06/2019 06Z+106.4 %-47.4 %+87.6 %+53.1 %+59.2 %+61.8 %-19.6 %
26/06/2019 00Z+16.4 %+266.7 %+71.9 %-44.5 %-18.1 %+85.4 %-10.4 %
25/06/2019 18Z+21.1 %-38.7 %+57.1 %+18.6 %-28.2 %+49 %-51.6 %
25/06/2019 12Z-49 %-92.9 %-74.1 %-38.5 %-54.4 %+14.8 %-34.5 %
25/06/2019 06Z+9 %+142.6 %-19.5 %-57.8 %-8.4 %+71.7 %-0.2 %
25/06/2019 00Z-3 %-53.8 %+54.6 %-33.6 %-38.9 %+69.3 %+5.7 %
24/06/2019 18Z+61.8 %-7.8 %+38.4 %+55.1 %+88.5 %+148.4 %+19.8 %
24/06/2019 12Z+15.9 %-80.7 %+82.6 %-50.9 %-16.3 %+71.1 %-17.4 %
24/06/2019 06Z-14.7 %-74.6 %-8.8 %+64.5 %-14.7 %+44.5 %+5.4 %
24/06/2019 00Z+7.2 %-88 %+18.2 %+4.2 %-8 %+61.7 %-15.8 %
23/06/2019 18Z+48 %+35.4 %+14.4 %-30.9 %+2.9 %+114.9 %+14.8 %
23/06/2019 12Z-1.2 %-68.4 %-10.6 %-88.2 %-35.2 %+25 %-33.8 %
23/06/2019 06Z+147 %+359.4 %+99 %-24.3 %+47.2 %+127.9 %+99.4 %
23/06/2019 00Z+142.4 %-70.8 %+53.4 %+50.1 %+134.7 %+12.1 %-22.8 %
22/06/2019 18Z+70.7 %-62.2 %-20.2 %+40.8 %+3.3 %+23.9 %-19.7 %
22/06/2019 12Z+120.1 %+114.8 %+150.5 %-14.1 %+57.7 %+97.3 %+90.6 %
22/06/2019 06Z+53.4 %-63.3 %-29.9 %-34.8 %+13 %+63.5 %+65.1 %
22/06/2019 00Z-10.9 %-92.3 %-43.7 %-50.6 %-16.3 %+1.2 %-32.5 %
21/06/2019 18Z+16.8 %-45.7 %-8 %-40.9 %-12.5 %+20.6 %-33.7 %
21/06/2019 12Z+106.1 %+46.9 %+45.9 %+68.3 %+78.7 %+52 %-4.5 %
21/06/2019 06Z-0.6 %-31.8 %-12.2 %-73.5 %-35.2 %+17.3 %-50.8 %
21/06/2019 00Z+72.9 %-29.5 %-6.3 %+39.5 %+46.8 %+80.9 %-13.5 %
20/06/2019 18Z+96.6 %-60.5 %-76.6 %-25.4 %+142.3 %+2.6 %-45.2 %
20/06/2019 12Z+7.2 %-93.6 %-15.8 %-56.3 %+11.2 %-12.2 %-15.2 %
20/06/2019 06Z+107.1 %-8.7 %+107.6 %-4.7 %+36.6 %+12.3 %-12.9 %
20/06/2019 00Z+53.1 %+42.8 %+48.1 %-52.8 %+11.2 %+70.7 %-8.6 %
19/06/2019 18Z+112.4 %+341.4 %+191.2 %+27.3 %+25.4 %+94.1 %+35.4 %
19/06/2019 12Z+37.5 %+77.7 %+83.8 %+4 %-20.8 %+62.3 %-26.7 %
19/06/2019 06Z+64.4 %-59.3 %+35.1 %+50.2 %+7.1 %+55.7 %-38.2 %
19/06/2019 00Z-37.5 %+103.6 %-11.4 %-59 %-39 %+50.2 %-20.6 %
Moyenne+45.9 %+12 %+30.1 %-10.2 %+14 %+55 %-6.4 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
26/06/2019 06Z+0.2 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.4 hPa+-0 hPa
26/06/2019 00Z+0.3 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.9 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.5 hPa-0.2 hPa+0 hPa
25/06/2019 18Z+0.1 hPa-0.5 hPa-1.3 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.2 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.1 hPa
25/06/2019 12Z+4 hPa+3.3 hPa+1.8 hPa+3.7 hPa+3.8 hPa+3.5 hPa+4.1 hPa
25/06/2019 06Z+0.6 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.1 hPa+-0 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.6 hPa
25/06/2019 00Z+0.8 hPa-0.8 hPa-0.9 hPa+0.8 hPa+1.3 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.1 hPa
24/06/2019 18Z-1.6 hPa+0 hPa-0.2 hPa-1 hPa-2.4 hPa-0.4 hPa-1.6 hPa
24/06/2019 12Z-1 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.3 hPa-1.5 hPa-0.7 hPa-0.8 hPa
24/06/2019 06Z-0.8 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.8 hPa-2.1 hPa-1.3 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.5 hPa
24/06/2019 00Z-1.1 hPa-0.6 hPa-2.1 hPa-3.3 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.5 hPa
23/06/2019 18Z+-0 hPa-0.5 hPa-1.3 hPa-0.4 hPa+0 hPa-0.3 hPa+-0 hPa
23/06/2019 12Z+2.7 hPa+0.8 hPa+1 hPa+3 hPa+2.7 hPa+1.6 hPa+2 hPa
23/06/2019 06Z+0.3 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.5 hPa+-0 hPa
23/06/2019 00Z-3.7 hPa-1.1 hPa-1.4 hPa-3.7 hPa-5.3 hPa-1.4 hPa-2.7 hPa
22/06/2019 18Z-0.3 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.4 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.4 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.3 hPa
22/06/2019 12Z-1.3 hPa-0.8 hPa+0.4 hPa-0.3 hPa-2.2 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.8 hPa
22/06/2019 06Z+1 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.5 hPa
22/06/2019 00Z+1.3 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.4 hPa+1.2 hPa+1.2 hPa
21/06/2019 18Z+1.3 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.2 hPa
21/06/2019 12Z-2 hPa-1.4 hPa-1.3 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.4 hPa-1.3 hPa-1.6 hPa
21/06/2019 06Z+2.4 hPa+1.2 hPa-0.1 hPa+1.8 hPa+3 hPa+1.4 hPa+2.2 hPa
21/06/2019 00Z+0.2 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.3 hPa-1 hPa+0.2 hPa+0 hPa+0.4 hPa
20/06/2019 18Z+0.7 hPa+0.6 hPa-1.1 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.9 hPa
20/06/2019 12Z+0.3 hPa-0.2 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.9 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.2 hPa+-0 hPa
20/06/2019 06Z+0.2 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.4 hPa
20/06/2019 00Z-0.8 hPa-1.5 hPa-0.8 hPa+0.4 hPa-1.2 hPa-1.2 hPa-1.4 hPa
19/06/2019 18Z-1.4 hPa-1.5 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.5 hPa-2.1 hPa
19/06/2019 12Z-1.2 hPa-1.6 hPa-2.7 hPa-1.3 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.1 hPa
19/06/2019 06Z+0.3 hPa+1.1 hPa+0 hPa-0.7 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.8 hPa+1 hPa
19/06/2019 00Z+2.7 hPa+2.2 hPa+1.6 hPa+2.2 hPa+2.4 hPa+2.3 hPa+2.3 hPa
Moyenne+0.1 hPa+0 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.1 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Précisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont réalisés à partir des données de la période 1982-2010. Le modèle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modèle saisonnier qui est lancé une 4 tous les jours avec les données de réanalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 
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